A modelling study for the health risk posed by nuclear power plant in Bulgaria at different parts of Turkey
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Date
2004
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Parlar Research and Technology
Abstract
In this study, following a severe accident in Kozloduy nuclear power plant in Bulgaria, how Turkey will be affected has been investigated. The atmospheric dispersion model used is Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Transport (HySPLIT) model.For the simplicity, the release of only I-131 and Cs-137 for the worst-case accident scenario was modeled by HySPLIT for each day of the arbitrarily selected year 2000 to find the worst day of deposition, which was seen to result from the release beginning on April 7th 2000 and accumulated at the end of the 15-day simulation. Afterthat release of all fission products was modeled for the worst deposited day. Radiation dose at different receptors, which are 12 grids throughout Turkey, was calculated via inhalation, ingestion and external radiation pathways. Delayed health risk, fatal cancer, non-fatal cancer and hereditary risks, were investigated for the receptor points. The mostly affected part of Turkey fatal cancer is 0.121%. The same approach was applied to investigate the health risk of the proposed nuclear power plant at Akkuyu, Turkey. In this case, it was seen that the worst deposited day was resulted from the release beginning on 21st of February 2000 and accumulated at the end of the 15-day simulation. The worst affected part was found as the area between Kayseri, Niğde and Nevşehir with the total effective dose commitment of 0.108 Sievert and the individual risk of suffering from fatal cancer 0.54%.
KEY WORDS: Kozloduy, Turkey, accident, HySPLIT,dose,risk.
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Keywords
Turkey, Türkiye, Accident, Kaza, Dose, Doz, Risk, HySPLIT, Kozloduy, Nuclear power plant -- Bulgaria, Nükleer güç santrali -- Bulgaristan, Nuclear power plant -- Turkey, Nükleer güç santrali -- Türkiye
Citation
Ünver, Özge (2004) A modelling study for the health risk posed by nuclear power plant in Bulgaria at different parts of Turkey. Fresenius Environmental Bulletin. Vol 13, No 9, 2004, pp. 1-11.